She has done a little better than expected so far, but there are 44% of undecided Latinos in polling conducted a few days ago where Raman has been showing surging in the crosstabs.
They probably arent voting for Pratt and many are skeptical of Bass over housing issues. If that is true, will they show up and vote for Raman or stay home? Ramans campaign focused heavilyly on a turnout machine targeting the largest working class communities in LA across all demographics. So I think she has a shot.
Pratt relied only on the anger of the largely white middle class who lost their homes in the fire. Additionally he did really great in the valley with moderate white voters, and many working class whites.
But then he hit his ceiling and we are now watching his complete capitulation as Raman and Bass compete for the rest of the votes.
I have my money on Raman completely blowing out Pratt and Bass with Latino votes for a photo finish to first.
And if she doesnt, then Bass really did an amazing job at reaching those key groups in her coalition in a time of one of the most hostile environments for an incumbent like herself.
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