General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Talarico is a guest on Bill Maher show tomorrow [View all]LtTx
(65 posts)White voters are projected to make up approximately 44% of likely voters in the March 2026 Texas Democratic primary. The remaining 56% consists of Latino (28%), Black (23%), and other (5%) voters. This demographic reflects a shift in the party's base, which is increasingly diverse, though white voters remain a significant segment.
APSA Preprints
APSA Preprints
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Key 2026 Primary Demographic Highlights:
White Likely Voters: 44%
Latino Likely Voters: 28%
Black Likely Voters: 23%
Other/Undisclosed: 5%
Gender: 60% Women, 40% Men
Generations: 35% Silent/Baby Boomer, 25% Gen-X, 40% Millennial/Gen-Z
University of Houston
University of Houston
While the Texas Democratic primary population is 44% white, this group often splits their support between candidates, with some polls indicating a 14-point advantage for specific candidates among white voters. Other studies indicate that white women with college degrees are 15 points more likely to lean Democratic.
Pew Research Center
Pew Research Center
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