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OC375

(990 posts)
4. Depends on how one defines opening the strait.
Tue Apr 7, 2026, 07:18 PM
9 hrs ago

I doubt a few scattered ships going through will satisfy anyone for long, let alone two weeks.

I don't see Iran letting just everyone cruise through immediately either. Even if they did, it will take time to get the backlog of ships and product through, plus resume new traffic, so I wonder how long everyone is going to play along with the ceasefire.

There are also wildcards beyond just Trump's ego, like Houthi's with rockets and speedboats, and other opportunists ready for the revolution, or martyrdom, or whatever comes next for them as well.

I give it until the weekend to break down, but what do I know?

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