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Polybius

(22,117 posts)

4. It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them

Reply to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #2)

Sat May 16, 2026, 12:09 PM

Saturday

Remember what names I was called for saying Harris could potentially lose the election? In reality, their numbers were spot-on. They were highly accurate in 2020, 2022, and 2024. I'll be watching them heavily in 2026. Here's an interesting thread on Reddit about them, right after the election in 2024.

https://www.reddit.com/r/fivethirtyeight/comments/1gl0fq7/atlas_intel_absolutely_nailed_it/

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Highlight:

Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom) [View all] Polybius Saturday OP

AOC being President would be a dream come true for me mvd Saturday #1

AOC being the Dem nominee would result in a nightmare for all of us. RandomNumbers Saturday #5

Well, it's a ways away. I'll give her a chance mvd Saturday #6

Thank you for the reality check. yellow dahlia Saturday #10

While encouraging, it should be noted that Atlas is a highly biased RW pollster Fiendish Thingy Saturday #2

They were the most accurate polling organization in each of the last two presidential elections BeyondGeography Saturday #3

It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them Polybius Saturday #4

IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans Fiendish Thingy Saturday #8

"Who knew in 2024 that 9 million fewer voters" Polybius Sunday #13

What does your crystal ball say about turnout in 2026 vs 2022? Nt Fiendish Thingy Sunday #14

My guess is probably better than 2022, because Trump is so hated Polybius Sunday #16

I really hate "polls." gulliver Saturday #7

The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition Midwestern Democrat Saturday #9

Agreed. My top contenders are Mark Kelly and Chris Murphy. yellow dahlia Saturday #11

These numbers are kind of amusing fujiyamasan Saturday #12

It is a massive outlier: Celerity Sunday #15