Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Fiendish Thingy

(24,055 posts)

8. IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans

Reply to Polybius (Reply #4)

Sat May 16, 2026, 01:05 PM

Saturday

Who knew in 2024 that 9 million fewer voters, mostly Dems and independents, would not show up compared to 2020?

I think they also predicted republicans would have a 40 seat majority in the house, but nobody talks about that.

From Wikipedia:

Why the "Bias" label persists:Atlas’s heavy reliance on big-data algorithms means that when their weighting models capture the "silent" or anti-establishment voter perfectly, their results look genius. However, when their models overcorrect or misfire, the raw data shows strong conservative-leaning biases that diverge significantly from consensus averages.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

16 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom) [View all] Polybius Saturday OP

AOC being President would be a dream come true for me mvd Saturday #1

AOC being the Dem nominee would result in a nightmare for all of us. RandomNumbers Saturday #5

Well, it's a ways away. I'll give her a chance mvd Saturday #6

Thank you for the reality check. yellow dahlia Saturday #10

While encouraging, it should be noted that Atlas is a highly biased RW pollster Fiendish Thingy Saturday #2

They were the most accurate polling organization in each of the last two presidential elections BeyondGeography Saturday #3

It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them Polybius Saturday #4

IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans Fiendish Thingy Saturday #8

"Who knew in 2024 that 9 million fewer voters" Polybius Sunday #13

What does your crystal ball say about turnout in 2026 vs 2022? Nt Fiendish Thingy Sunday #14

My guess is probably better than 2022, because Trump is so hated Polybius Sunday #16

I really hate "polls." gulliver Saturday #7

The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition Midwestern Democrat Saturday #9

Agreed. My top contenders are Mark Kelly and Chris Murphy. yellow dahlia Saturday #11

These numbers are kind of amusing fujiyamasan Saturday #12

It is a massive outlier: Celerity Sunday #15