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In reply to the discussion: 'This came at night': Texas officials say they were caught off guard by deadly rainstorms, flooding [View all]moonshinegnomie
(3,564 posts)heres a timeline of the actual NWS weather warnings (from the cajun navy)
By TuesdayWednesday: Messaging mentioned Thursday flood risk.Thursday: Flood watches were issued. By late afternoon, a Slight Risk of excessive rain (WPC 2/4) was highlightedwhich in hindsight may have underplayed the potential.
HRRR: Wednesday night runs showed 79" bullseyes; by Thursday morning, projected 1013" and later up to 20" in key flash-flood zones.
HREF: Also signaled >10? potential early Thursday using probability-matched meanproviding solid foresight for forecasters
flash Flood Warnings kicked off just before midnight Friday as rain rates exceeded 34"/hr.Flash Flood Emergencies were declared around 4 AM Friday in Kerrville and near San Angelo as over 10" fell
and this is directly from the NWS
The National Water Center Flood Hazard Outlook issued on Thursday morning indicated an expansion of flash flood potential to include Kerrville and surrounding areas.
A flood watch was issued by the NWS Austin/San Antonio office at 1:18 p.m. on Thursday, in effect through Friday morning.
The Weather Prediction Center issued three Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions for the excessive rainfall event as early as 6:10 p.m. Thursday indicating the potential for flash flooding.
The National Water Center Area Hydrologic Discussion #144 at 6:22 p.m. on Thursday messaged locally considerable flood wording for areas north and west of San Antonio, including Kerrville.
At 1:14 a.m. Friday, a flash flood warning with a considerable tag (which denotes high-damage threats and will automatically trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts on enabled mobile devices and over NOAA Weather Radio) was issued for Kerr County.
The flash flood warning was upgraded to a flash flood emergency for southcentral Kerr County as early as 4:03 a.m. Friday.
The 5:00 a.m. National Water Center Area Hydrologic Discussion #146 on Friday included concern for widespread considerable flooding through the day. The Flood Hazard Outlook was also upgraded to considerable and catastrophic.
A flash flood emergency was issued for the Guadalupe River at 5:34 a.m.
in addition while the flash flood warning was issued at 1:15am it wasnt until after 5 that kerrville police said to evacuate and after 7 before the city of kerville did the same.
https://www.kxan.com/investigations/federal-forecast-concerns-surface-in-texas-deadly-flooding-debate/
once again local MAGA officials fucked up and kids died.just like uvalde. and i can confidently say they are maga since that county is VERY maga friendly. I go thru there a few times a year.
in addition due to doge there are 6 vacancies in the NWS office that handles that area.
*Warning and Coordination Meteorologist position open (yes they coordinate Warnings)
*2 open meteorologists positions (yes they are on call 24/7)
*Hydrologist position open (yes, they project floods)
*Electronic Tech position open
*Manager position open
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