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Wiz Imp

(6,975 posts)
4. I don't believe there has been any public debate on it yet
Wed Jun 25, 2025, 08:03 PM
Jun 25

so it is hard to know exactly what it looks like. Here's some of the differences with the House bill:

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67fd58c96da19e03e283d0a6/t/6859690c98bded3bb9f6502e/1750690061189/Key+differences+between+the+House+%26+Senate%E2%80%99s+Republican+megabill+%28June+23%2C+2025%29+%281%29.pdf

It's hard to tell where the individual Senators stand, but I think further changes are likely needed to get the 50 votes needed.

I'm pretty sure Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are definite no's . The bill as it currently stands includes draconian Medicaid cuts which will force hundreds of rural hospitals in red states to close. No way the bill passes without that being addressed. Hawley, Tillis, Collins, Murkowski and Moran all have objections to this.

Don't know what all the other objections are, but I know there are a number of other things one or more Senators strongly oppose. And the current Senate bill keeps the SALT deduction at $10,000 whereas the House version raised it to $40,000. There are a bunch of NY and CA reps who I'm pretty sure will not vote for the bill in the House if it comes back with the SALT deduction still at $10,000.

From my vantage point, it doesn't look real close to being able to pass at this point. Something will eventually pass and it will be terrible, but exactly how terrible and when it will pass remain a huge question mark.

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